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A Good Hand in Poker

The probability for a five card poker hand begins with the proposition... 52 cards taken 5 at a time. Expressed mathematically that is (5215)! The math looks like this;

52*51*50*49*48
------------------------------ =2,598,960
5*4*3*2*1

There are 2,598,960 possible five card hands that can be dealt in a five card game. This means that the odds of being dealt a Royal Flush in Spades, (10, 1, Q, K, A) is I in 2,598,960. Understand that this also means the odds of being dealt “Any” called for five card hand is the same I in 2,598,960. Being dealt the 5d, 6c, As, I Oh, 9h in the first five cards is the same as the Royal Flush in Spades. Given that there are four (4) different suits that the Royal Flush could be made in, the correct odds for any Royal Flush in the first five cards is;

2,598,960 ./. 4 — 649,740 to 1

Similar calculations can be made for each of the other hand types. Take for instance the odds of being dealt a flush (five cards of the same suit...not in order). There are 13 cards in each suit. You need five of the thirteen cards In the first five dealt, to make a flush. The math looks like this;

13*12*11*10*9
--------------------- ‘= 1287 x 4 suits = 5148
5 * 4 * 3 * 2 * 1

The number above, however includes all Flushes.. .Royal Flushes and Straight Flushes as well.

You must now subtract the number of Royal and Straight Flushes to determine the accurate count for a standard flush.
5148
- 4...Royal Flushes
- 36. .Straight Flushes
----------
5108...... ..,......., . F1ushs

 
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Online Poker Winning Concepts

Winning Holdem Concepts

The reason is obvious but sometimes it takes longer to get your money back because the worst poker player will play nearly every hand against you. You'll have to have the best hand at the showdown nearly every time and if that's the only way you can win; it will take a little longer.

The Player On Your Right

You would rather lose a pot to the online poker player on your right than the one on your left. Since the player on your right will have acted on his hand before you do, you'll almost always have position on him. The money on the table tends to move clockwise in Hold'em because of position, and the idea is for his money to move clockwise into your stack. If possible, you should sit to the left of bad players, players who play too many hands, players who have a lot of money in front of them, and players who bet more often than their hands warrant. And if you can find a player who has more than one of these qualities, then so much the better for you.

To Play Or Not To Play A Hand?

How do you, after looking at your two pocket cards, decide whether or not to play the hand? What makes you call the blind and raises, and what makes you throw the hand away? Here's how I look at the question. Assume you are playing in your usual Hold'em game. That's easy to imagine. I'm going to ask you to imagine a lot more after this, so pay close attention. Assume that you are in your typical game with your typical number of players, with the usual stakes that you play for and so on. Now you look down to see that you have been dealt Qc 9h if you don't like Qc 9h. As your hand, then feel free to mentally substitute any other hand that you like for this example. It doesn't matter. In fact, this exercise is meant for every two card combination, because you will be dealt every two-card combination in the long run. After the flop, assume that you play the hand as you see fit. You can throw the hand away, you can call, or raise, or do anything you want. Now comes the tricky part. Assume now that you will get this same hand dealt to you for the next one million hands. Assume that this is the only Hold' em hand that you'll ever be dealt for the rest of your life (I hope you picked a good one). You'll get the hand in every position under all the usual game conditions. Every time you get Q c 9h. (Or whatever hand you've chosen), you do not remember what the hand was after it's over, and neither does anyone else. And you're going to do this for one million consecutive hands.

Winning Or Losing

Now, assuming all of this, which I admit is a lot, the question is: After playing this hand for one million consecutive hands under all circumstances, are you winning or losing? One million hands are long enough for winning and losing streaks to run their course and for everything statistical to average out in the long run. The answer to the question, "Am I winning or losing"? Is also the answer to the question, "Do I play this hand or not"? Simple, isn't it? Any hand that wins money in the long run is said to have a positive expectation. Any hand that loses money in the long run is said to have a negative expectation. A hand that neither wins nor loses in the long run is said to have a zero expectation. You normally don't want to play hands that have a negative expectation, with the exception of changing up your play for deception or advertising purposes, which will be covered later.

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